Stagflation
Author of Blog, Speculation, Neoliberalism, Recession July 31, 2008Read 3.408 times
The article you transcribe the end of this comment conveys a very didactic explanation of stagflation, however, as the economy is not an exact science due to the human component of it, I believe that the current stagflation is "a very human component "which is not contained in that article that refers to one of the Deadly Sins that neoliberalism has encouraged more ... the GREED!.
As I have written repeatedly, the economic laws that the good of Adam Smith gave us were based on observations made in relation to the society in which they lived, but that society is not the same society that exists in the century Current XXI which have lost a lot of moral values.
Applying the ratio [common sense] and those economic laws, to the fall in consumption [claim] because we are seeing a clear stagnation of the economy should be a price drop, but not so. Why?.
For me, the answer has no doubts .... By the greed of businessmen that despite the declining demand and therefore sales, existing as recession prices rise because they want to receive, at least the same benefits. At this point it is clear that the "free market? has become a farce.
Do not forget for one moment that prices are not only governed by the binomial demand-supply, but there is a component of "personal" of the employer who will decide the amount of benefit you get with their products. It is therefore that inflation does not always and not only is produced by a target pressure of demand, but by a decision "human" owner of the goods.
That said, spreading a falsehood often unhealthy, probably as an excuse to hide this, saying that wage increases cause inflation [is curious that the two components of production, CAPITAL - WORKING, only the latter produces inflation; Are profit margins that are applied to products not influence it?]. That might be so, perhaps, the most developed countries [I have never believed that salary increases are proportional to the effort if the component "work" in production, causing inflation and an increase in demand due to increased purchasing power should lead to increased supply and therefore prices should remain stable], but in underdeveloped countries where wages are subsistence, and therefore purchasing power is at its lowest level, this assertion is nonsense it only seeks to increase corporate profits via the quasi-slave labor.
Remember that the relocation of enterprises with famous globalization does not occur in a capricious because the adventurous spirit of the owners thereof; occurs precisely because the search for cheaper labor to provide a increased income statements of companies.
Of course that tactic in the long run, resulting in a decrease in purchasing power in countries of origin of such companies, which are, in turn, the countries of destination of goods produced in other places as entrepreneurs are delocalized to produce but do not want to be to sell their products [a shirt that costs them $ 5 where they sell produce at $ 50 in their own countries]. This decrease in purchasing power, which is currently being displayed by an obvious increase in unemployment in most developed countries, is causing a slump in sales and thus many companies facing serious financial difficulties, which also begins Displayed with increasing bankruptcies and defaults [see].
Miguel de Arriba
In the tightrope of stagflation
Stagflation English-tracing "stagflation" word made from "stagnation" (stagnation) and "inflation" (inflation) indicates the time or economic conditions that, in an inflationary situation, there is a stagnant economy and the rate of inflation does not yield. According to some economic observatories, this is because the box with Spain, one of the most difficult to address.
Stagflation is a term that was coined in 1965 by former British finance minister, Ian McLeod, who, in a parliamentary speech made the following definition: "It is the economic situation shows the simultaneity of rising prices, rising unemployment and economic stagnation, entering a crisis or even recession.
Spain is not technically in recession, a situation that requires chain two consecutive quarters of negative growth, but it is the edge of the "zero growth", according to the semi-official estimate yesterday predicted the Bank of Spain, which usually coincides with the official National Institute of Statistics. With inflation above 5 percent and now unabated, the diagnosis is close to the "stagflation, considered one of the worst possible economic scenarios for the difficulty of their management and correction. Monetary and fiscal policies that are often used to boost an economy recession worsen the inflation component of stagflation and restrictive monetary policies that are used to combat inflation tend to deepen and broaden its recessive component.
Stagflation completely distorts markets and places to governments and central banks in a delicate position. In the stagflation recession is usually partial, recording simultaneously the decrease of some sectors such as production of goods, together with the growth of other sectors such as production services. If it is a relatively open economy and inflation is accompanied by a process of devaluation, you can register a contraction of the currency-consuming activities and an expansion of generating foreign exchange. This represents an enormous challenge for authorities as they receive mixed and contradictory signals about the economy that make it very difficult to decide what policies to implement, in what sequence and when to take them. "It's the worst of both worlds" say many economists.
While recessions may have internal or external causes, stagflation is always home made "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon" and those who handle the coins are sovereign monetary authorities of each space. In the Spanish case, as for the entire euro zone, the monetary authority is not national but European Central Bank (ECB), whose original mandate is to combat inflation. Monetary policy is beyond the scope of government. The other basic tool of economic policy, fiscal, is also limited by the Community obligations of budgetary stability.
In any case, stagflation becomes a dilemma for the authorities to manage the cash flows themselves, who must choose between the measures normally used to increase economic growth and thus increased, inflation or policies to combat inflation reduced activity in an economy where unemployment situation. A clear example: the strategy of reducing interest rates is generally indicated to revitalize consumption and investment and thus may help to overcome economic stagnation, yet repotencia inflationary pressures. Another case: raising rates, as has been done since 2005, the ECB can help to contain inflation, but restricts the expansion of growth.
Source: The New Spain
A clear example of the greed that promotes the economic system can be seen in images downloading this file ...
| Download link: Trabajo_Globalizacion.pps (2.31MB) Added on: 22/08/2008 Clicks: 627 |
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August 1st, 2008 at 18:31
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Houston-The Exxon Mobil reported earnings yesterday for 11 thousand 680 million dollars in the second quarter, up 14 percent and the highest profit achieved by an American company in a single period.
The largest oil company in the world among those listed on the exchange said that its net income for the April-June period were $ 2.22 per share, compared with 1.83 dollars per share for the same period a year ago, a total of 10 thousand $ 260 million the same period in 2007.
Revenue rose 40 percent to 138 thousand 100 million dollars compared with 98 thousand 400 million a year earlier.
Excluding a charge after paying punitive taxes, of $ 290 million related to a legal settlement in the Exxon Valdez case, earnings were 11 thousand 970 million dollars, 2.27 dollars per share.
Analysts had expected Exxon Mobil to earn 2.52 per share on revenues of 144 billion dollars, according to a poll by Thomson Financial. Those estimates typically exclude nonrecurring items generally.
The results were largely anticipated, since the prices of crude in the second quarter nearly doubled on the same date a year ago. Natural gas prices were also significantly higher.
But investors had anticipated even bigger profits Thursday, especially after Europe's Royal Dutch Shell said it saw growth of 33 percent in its second-quarter earnings to 11 thousand 600 million euros.
Exxon Mobil shares fell 2.24 dollars, 2.6 percent, to 82.14 in the recruitment of the morning.
The record profits have become a common occurrence for Exxon Mobil, based in Irving Texas town. The 11 thousand 680 million exceeded its record of 11 thousand 660 million, achieved in the fourth quarter of last year, and 10 thousand 900 million it announced in early 2008.
Exxon Mobil owns the record for at least six profitable quarters for a U.S. company and its largest annual profit.
The company, which produces 3 percent of the world's oil, got its biggest benefits from its exploration and production subsidiary, where profits rose 68 percent to 10 thousand 010 million dollars to 5 thousand $ 950 million ago one year. But the main reason was the record high oil price increases, potentially mitigated by lower sales and higher operating costs.
September 22nd, 2008 at 11:29
hello teacher! You taught me principles of economy in exactly 1 year ago uca. I hope this good and wanted to publish historical overview and causes of stagflation. besides which you think are the most relevant measures to curb stagflation.
July 11th, 2009 at 8:07
Hola que tal Professor Miguel, you have very good morning and God
of divinity, forward in each of their actions very effects
positive.
The motive of this email is to ask you the
positive presentations of days that we presented on Saturday 04/07/09
on economy approach,,, the student group Social Work
and Development Management, Group 0234,,, I hope I will be able to allow.
I love his class teacher, such as addresses and foremost, their
different philosophical viewpoints ,,,,, I am personally
da identified with its projection and vision of being of things. Well I
leave of you with great respect and wanting to have a good day.
Saludes
Student: Scarlett Obando